The
Central Bank third quarter report on the economic performance from
January to September indicates the economy grew 1.8% during that
period. Third quarter growth alone was 5.5%, offsetting the slow
start to the year. The most dynamic sectors were communications
(22.7%), electricity and water (21.1%), government (7.7%), farming
(4%), and finances (2.8%). The hotel industry declined 0.2%,
construction was down 1.2%, transportation 2.2%, manufacturing 2.3,
commerce 3.5% and mining 3.5%. For more information, see Central
Bank quarterly report
Once
predominantly an exporter of raw materials, the country has been
transformed into a service supplier, the most dynamic being tourism,
followed by light manufacturing from the industrial free zones. The
Gross Domestic Product of the nation grew 8.5% in 2000 (up from 8.3%
in 1999), the highest in Latin America and the Caribbean. Growth for
2001, nevertheless, is expected to drop to 6% as the economy
reflects the lull in the US economy, the rise in the oil prices and
the domestic slow down in part occasioned by new taxes placed in
effect by the Mejia administration to better distribute wealth.
Inflation in 2000 was 8.1%, up from 5% in 1999.
According
to preliminary statistics, in 2000 the best performing sectors were:
communications (15.7%), tourism (15.7%), transportation (11.9%),
electricity/water (11%), manufacturing (9%), mining (9.2%), and
commerce (8.4%). The fiscal deficit widened to 1.5% of GDP, while
the rate of inflation, at 9.02%, was higher than in 1999. Capital
inflows were not sufficient to offset the deficit on the current
account (6% of GDP and 3 percentage points above the projected
level), resulting in a negative overall balance-of payments
position. The fiscal reform project contained in the Tariff Reform
and Fiscal Compensation Act has raised tax on the transfer of goods
and services (ITBIS) from 8% to 12%, expanded its scope, changed the
excise tax rate and levied new taxes on non-essential items.
A new tax on gross income of 1.5% for companies making more than
RD$6 million a year was instated in January 2001. Smaller companies
pay up to 0.75% tax on gross income. That is, regardless of income
levels, all companies in the DR need to pay the income tax.
In current terms, the Gross Domestic Product (GDP), expressed in
Dominican currency as RD$322,866 million, grew by 16% in 2000, up
from RD$278,163 million in 1999.
In its Latin American Prospects 2001 report, the Economic Commission
for Latin America and the Caribbean (ECLAC) has revised its January
forecast of 6% growth rate for the DR to 4%. This is down from 7.8%
in 2000 and 8.2% in 1999.
In the report, the organization revises growth forecasts for Latin
American countries downward in general, reflecting the decline in
the US economy which has lowered demand for the region's products.
The report is available on the organization's web
page.
Overall, current projections from ECLAC indicate that annual
regional growth will reach 3% in 2001, one percentage point less
than in 2000. This scenario assumes that the US economy won't head
into a full recession during the second half of the year. As a
result, unemployment will remain at the relatively high levels
typical of the past two years and could rise even further in some
countries. If conditions in the US economy turn around, the region
should grow at approximately 4% in 2002.
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